Gartner reports growth for global PC shipments after seven consecutive years of decline

Mikako Kitagawa, Senior Principal Analyst at Gartner
Mikako Kitagawa, Senior Principal Analyst at Gartner
5 years ago

Worldwide PC shipments totalled 70.6 million units in the fourth quarter of 2019, a 2.3% increase from the fourth quarter of 2018, according to preliminary results by Gartner. For the year, 2019 PC shipments surpassed 261 million units, showing 0.6% growth from 2018.

“The PC market experienced growth for the first time since 2011, driven by vibrant business demand for Windows 10 upgrades, particularly in the U.S., EMEA and Japan,” said Mikako Kitagawa, Senior Principal Analyst at Gartner. “We expect this growth to continue through this year even after Windows 7 support comes to an end this month, as many businesses in emerging regions such as China, Eurasia and the emerging Asia/ Pacific have not yet upgraded.”

“Contrasted against the ongoing weakness in consumer PC demand, business PC demand has led to unit growth in five of the last seven quarters,” said Ms. Kitagawa. “The ongoing Intel CPU shortage, which began mid-last year, became a major issue again on PC delivery to enterprise customers by the top three vendors. Without this shortage, shipments would have grown faster than the reported results.”

Despite these chip constraints, the top three vendors increased their combined market share through 2019 to the highest level since Gartner began tracking PC data. Lenovo, HP Inc and Dell accounted for nearly 65% of PC shipments in the fourth quarter of 2019, up from just more than 61% in the fourth quarter of 2018


Preliminary worldwide PC vendor unit shipment estimates for 4Q19 (thousands of units)

Company 4Q19 Shipments 4Q19 Market Share % 4Q18 Shipments 4Q18 Market Share % 4Q19-4Q18 Growth %
Lenovo 17,498 24.8 16,418 23.8 6.6
HP Inc 16,129 22.8 15,301 22.2 5.4
Dell 12,114 17.2 10,805 15.7 12.1
Apple 5,262 7.5 5,425 7.9 -3.0
ASUS 4,062 5.8 4,100 5.9 -0.9
Acer Group 3,994 5.7 3,861 5.6  3.5
Others 11,553 16.4 13,104 19.0 -11.8
Total 70,612 100.0 69,014 100.0 2.3

Notes: Data includes desk-based PCs, notebook PCs and ultramobile premiums such as Microsoft Surface, but not Chromebooks or iPads. All data is estimated based on a preliminary study. Final estimates will be subject to change. The statistics are based on shipments selling into channels. Numbers may not add up to totals shown due to rounding.

Source: Gartner, January 2020


Lenovo maintained its No 1 position in the worldwide PC market and widened its share over HP Inc. With the exception of the Asia/ Pacific, Lenovo recorded year-over-year growth in all regions. In the U.S. alone, Lenovo’s desktop PC shipments rose more than 30% compared with a year ago.

HP Inc. experienced its third quarter in a row of year-over-year shipment growth, and kept its top position in the U.S., EMEA and Latin America. However, it is facing aggressive competition from Lenovo and Dell. Dell finished the fourth quarter of 2019 with a record number of shipments, exceeding 12 million units for the first time since Gartner started tracking PC shipments. Dell’s shipments grew year-over-year in all regions at a much higher rate compared with the regional average, due in large part to its particularly strong desktop PC growth.

The US PC market grew 4.6% in the fourth quarter of 2019 with double-digit growth of desktop PCs for the first time since 2014. Only two of the top vendors experienced a decline in U.S. PC shipments, compared with four in the fourth quarter of 2018. “The fourth quarter is typically a strong buying season for small and midsize businesses (SMBs) that want to maximise their spending before the tax year ends,” said Ms. Kitagawa. “The relatively stable economic conditions in the U.S. compared with previous quarters, coupled with the end of Windows 7 support, also loosened up spending on PCs.”


Preliminary US PC vendor unit shipment estimates for 4Q19, thousands of units

Company 4Q19 Shipments 4Q19 Market Share %

4Q18 Shipments

4Q18 Market Share % 4Q19-4Q18 Growth %
HP Inc 4,887 31.2 4,679 31.2 4.4
Dell 4,206 26.8 3,627 24.2 15.9
Lenovo 2,334 14.9 2,099 14.0 11.2
Apple 2,128 13.6 2,111 14.1 0.8
Microsoft 721 4.6 863 5.8 -16.4
Others 1,399 8.9 1,612 10.8 -13.2
Total 15,675 100.0 14,991 100.0 4.6

Notes: Data includes desk-based PCs, notebook PCs and ultramobile premiums such as Microsoft Surface, but not Chromebooks or iPads. All data is estimated based on a preliminary study. Final estimates will be subject to change. The statistics are based on shipments selling into channels. Numbers may not add up to totals shown due to rounding.
*Lenovo’s results include Fujitsu units starting in 2Q18 to reflect the JV that closed in May 2018.

Source: Gartner, January 2020


PC shipments in EMEA increased 3.6% year over year to 21 million units, with the fourth quarter of 2019 marking the second consecutive quarter of shipment growth as regional demand improves. In Western Europe, the required Windows 10 upgrade outweighed any uncertainty surrounding Brexit. However, negative consumer confidence in the U.K. translated into the delay of many PC purchases.

The Asia/Pacific PC market totalled 22 million units in the fourth quarter of 2019, a 6.1% decline from the fourth quarter of 2018. This marks the region’s fifth straight quarter of decline. The decline can be attributed to weaker PC spending in China, the country that represents around 60% of the total Asia/Pacific PC market, over political and trade concerns.

Worldwide PC shipments totalled 261.2 million units in 2019, a 0.6% increase from 2018. This was the first time in seven years that the global PC market experienced growth.

“Geographically, Japan’s annual growth led the overall market’s growth,” said Ms. Kitagawa. “As for vendor performance, the top three vendors grew faster than the market itself, gaining a combined market share of 63.1% in 2019 compared with 60.2% in 2018. Their focus on the business market and more favourable allocations within the current CPU constraints served them well throughout the year.


Preliminary worldwide PC vendor unit shipment estimates for 2019, thousands of units

Company 2019

Shipments

2019 Market

Share %

2018

Shipments

2018 Market Share % 2019-2018 Growth %
Lenovo 62,968 24.1% 58,257 22.4 8.1%
HP Inc 57,922 22.2% 56,252 21.7 3.0%
Dell 43,956 16.8% 41,790 16.1 5.2%
Apple 18,350 7.0% 18,522 7.1 -0.9%
Acer Group 14,762 5.7% 15,729 6.1 -6.1%
ASUS 14,476 5.5% 15,425 5.9 -6.2%
Others 48,804 18.7% 53,788 20.7 0.6%
Total 261,237 100.0 259,763 100.0 0.6

Notes: Data includes desk-based PCs, notebook PCs and ultramobile premiums such as Microsoft Surface, but not Chromebooks or iPads. All data is estimated based on a preliminary study. Final estimates will be subject to change. The statistics are based on shipments selling into channels. Numbers may not add up to totals shown due to rounding.

Source: Gartner, January 2020


“Looking ahead, Gartner predicts a continuous decline in the consumer PC market over the next five years. Product innovation is one of the key factors that will enable the overall PC market to maintain sustainable growth. We’ve already started to see this through the ‘foldable laptops’ introduced at CES this past week along with initiatives that make PCs as easy as smartphones by allowing users to always be connected and ensuring a worry-free battery life. Such innovations that change user behaviour and create new product segments are something to keep an eye on in 2020 and beyond,” said Ms. Kitagawa.

These results are preliminary. Final statistics will be available soon to clients of Gartner’s PC Quarterly Statistics Worldwide by Region programme. This programme offers a comprehensive and timely picture of the worldwide PC market, allowing product planning, distribution, marketing and sales organisations to keep abreast of key issues and their future implications around the globe.

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